Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler

Posted 18 Hours Ago
Be an Early Applicant
Costa Mesa, CA, USA
In-Office
146K-195K Annually
Senior level
Consumer Web • Transportation • Travel
The Role
Lead development and deployment of actuarial predictive models for pricing, segmentation, and lifetime value. Drive end-to-end pricing initiatives from analysis through governance, implementation, and monitoring. Partner with Actuarial, Product, Underwriting, and IT, mentor team members, ensure regulatory compliance, and deliver actuarially defensible, commercially sound pricing solutions.
Summary Generated by Built In
Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler

The Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler creates predictive models with a primary focus on pricing segmentation and lifetime value. This role actively designs, develops, and implements actuarial pricing models and predictive segmentation strategies, applying established actuarial theory alongside advanced statistical and machine learning techniques. The Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler works directly with loss cost models, including developing new rating features as well as acquisition, retention and conversion models to support accurate, competitive, and financially sound pricing decisions. This role drives complex, end-to-end pricing initiatives—from exploratory analysis and model development through governance, implementation, and monitoring. The Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler partners closely with Actuarial, Product, Underwriting, and IT teams to translate business objectives into actuarially defensible pricing solutions, ensure regulatory compliance, and support timely rate filings. This position is deeply involved in execution, managing accelerated timelines, maintaining pricing discipline, and leading the delivery of high-quality results.
Job Duties

  • Personally build predictive models with focus on the most difficult and complex projects. Ensure solutions built meet the strategic needs of our organization as well as any regulatory or internal parameters.

  • Lead design of models best-suited for specific tasks and ensure analytic efforts are executed correctly. Create execution plans and assist predictive modelers in building robust and predictive models.

  • Identify and propose new technologies and tools that could benefit the Predictive Modeling and Analytics business unit.

  • Lead communication of project results/challenges to business partners in ways they can understand. Proactive communication of delays to planned efforts.

  • Mentor team members to assist with development, training, and career pathing

  • Ensure all projects have proper documentation taking into account potential regulatory, legal, or business concerns.

  • Able to act autonomously. The Senior Modeler must have an advanced knowledge of ratemaking, actuarial methods and methodologies as well as predictive modeling and data science methods and how those methods can be properly applied across different projects.

Qualifications

  • Masters Equivalent combination of education and experience Required

  • 7-9 years Experience building and deploying predictive models in an insurance environment required

  • 7-9 years Actuarial Experience preferred Preferred

  • Master's degree in Actuarial, Statistical, or Data Science field (or equivalent combination of education and experience) required

  • Demonstrated success implementing predictive modeling solutions for insurance use cases

  • Strong SQL skills

  • Strong Python skills preferred with other modeling tools and softwares a plus

  • Ability to understand the big picture and drive the initiatives the lead to completion of the overall big picture

  • Ability to work in cross-functional/departmental groups and keep multiple moving pieces straight

  • Ability to communicate complex topics clearly to business leaders

  • Mentor and assist predictive modelers in their respective functions and responsibilities.

  • Fellow of Casualty Actuarial Society - Casualty Actuarial Society Preferred

  • Associate of Casualty Actuarial Society - Casualty Actuarial Society Preferred

#LI-DF1

The starting pay range for this position is:

$145,900.00 - $194,600.00

Additionally, for full time positions, you will be eligible to participate in our incentive program based upon the achievement of organization, team and personal performance.

.

Remarkable benefits:
•    Health coverage for medical, dental, vision

•    401(K) saving plans with company match AND Pension    

•    Tuition assistance

•    Floating holidays and PTO for community volunteer programs

•    Paid parental leave

•    Wellness programs

•    Employee discounts (membership, insurance,

travel, entertainment, services and more!)

Auto Club Enterprises is the largest club within the national AAA federation. We have nearly 17,000 employees in 24 states helping more than 18 million members. The strength of our organization is our employees. Bringing together and supporting different cultures, backgrounds, personalities, and strengths creates a team capable of delivering legendary, lifetime service to our members. When we embrace our diversity – we win. All of Us! With our national brand recognition, long-standing reputation since 1900, and constantly growing membership, we are seeking career-minded, service-driven professionals to join our team.

“Through dedicated employees we proudly deliver legendary service and beneficial products that provide members peace of mind and value.”

AAA is an Equal Opportunity Employer

Our organization participates in E-Verify

The Automobile Club of Southern California will consider for employment all qualified applicants, including those with criminal histories, in a manner consistent with the requirements of applicable federal, state, and local laws, including the City of Los Angeles’ Fair Chance Initiative for Hiring Ordinance (FCIHO), the Unincorporated Los Angeles County (ULAC) regulation, and the California Fair Chance Act (CFCA). 

Skills Required

  • Master's degree in Actuarial, Statistical, or Data Science field or equivalent combination of education and experience
  • 7-9 years experience building and deploying predictive models in an insurance environment
  • Demonstrated success implementing predictive modeling solutions for insurance use cases
  • Strong SQL skills
  • Ability to design and lead complex actuarial pricing and segmentation models (ratemaking, actuarial methods, predictive modeling)
  • Ability to communicate complex topics clearly to business leaders and translate business objectives into actuarial solutions
  • Ability to work cross-functionally and manage multiple concurrent initiatives
  • Mentor and assist predictive modelers; support development and career pathing
  • Strong Python skills
  • 7-9 years actuarial experience
  • Fellow of Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS)
  • Associate of Casualty Actuarial Society (ACAS)

AAA Compensation & Benefits Highlights

The following summarizes recurring compensation and benefits themes identified from responses generated by popular LLMs to common candidate questions about AAA and has not been reviewed or approved by AAA.

  • Pay Growth & Progression Annual raises and bonuses are typically provided, signaling structured pay progression. Performance-based opportunities can add to earnings when goals are met.
  • Retirement Support A 401(k) match and an additional employer contribution are part of the package. This strengthens long‑term financial value beyond base pay.
  • Leave & Time Off Breadth Paid time off and paid holidays are provided, with generous PTO in the first year for certain roles. This breadth supports work‑life balance and recovery time.

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The Company
HQ: Dearborn, MI
13,858 Employees
Year Founded: 1902

What We Do

Proud to serve our 64+ million members, help travelers see the world and drive real change to improve road safety. Disclaimer: http://bit.ly/1xDRY2k

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