Sr. Forecast Analyst

Posted Yesterday
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San Antonio, TX, USA
In-Office
Senior level
Food • Industrial • Manufacturing
The Role
Lead demand planning and SKU-level forecasting using qualitative and quantitative techniques; maintain BI tools and statistical models; produce reports and consensus forecasts by collaborating with Sales, Marketing, Finance and cross-functional teams to drive supply chain planning and improve forecast accuracy.
Summary Generated by Built In
Name of Employer:                C.H. Guenther & Son LLC
Position Title:                          Sr. Forecast Analyst
Position Location:                  2201 Broadway, San Antonio, TX 78215
                                                                             
Hours:                                     Monday – Friday, 8:00 am to 5:00 pm

Summary of Duties:   

  • Generate standard or custom reports summarizing business, financial, or economic data for review by executives, managers, clients, and other stakeholders.
  • Maintain or update business intelligence tools, databases, dashboards, systems, or methods.
  • Identify and analyze industry or geographic trends with business strategy implications.
  • Collect business intelligence data from available industry reports, public information, field reports, or purchased sources.
  • Disseminate information regarding tools, reports, or metadata enhancements.
  • Conduct or coordinate tests to ensure that intelligence is consistent with defined needs.
  • Synthesize current business intelligence or trend data to support recommendations for action.
  • Analyze competitive market strategies through analysis of related product, market, or share trends.
  • Identify or monitor current and potential customers, using business intelligence tools.
  • Communicate with customers, competitors, suppliers, professional organizations, or others to stay abreast of industry or business trends.
  • Manage the overall forecasts for designated business areas through the integration of customer and business intelligence along with business analytics and statistical forecasting and tools.
  • Leverage IT for collecting and cleansing data.
  • Support the business by providing an integrative demand planning perspective for decision making and issue resolution.
  • Establish a SKU level forecast through a combination of qualitative and quantitative techniques.
  • Monitor, evaluate, and update statistical models and parameters to ensure statistical models reflect desired results based on current business conditions.
  • Access and monitor forecasts within customers systems and make recommendations to improve accuracy.
  • Increase business knowledge and actively engage with other functional teams to ensure customer and business knowledge is gathered and applied to the forecast.
  • Monitor business specific performance indicators and perform post period analysis to determine forecast improvement opportunities.
  • Provide guidance when working cross functionally to develop and communicate a consensus forecast that drives supply chain planning.
  • Provide information to management regarding past periods, future forecasts, and associated key drivers.
  • Achieve consensus for the demand plan by facilitating a monthly collaborative planning process with Sales, Marketing, and Finance.
  • Provide subject matter expertise for cross functional initiatives.
  • Provide graphical reporting and performance measurements.
  • Benchmark and work towards improving performance.
  • Develop planning strategies for new and discontinued products.

Education requirements:         

  • Bachelor’s degree in Data Analytics, Statistics, Business Analytics, or closely related field.

Experience requirements:        

  • 3 years of work experience in SAP systems in any occupation where the required experience is gained.

Special Skills or Other Requirements:  

Must have 1 year of experience with each of the following:

1. Holt’s linear Trend Model and Holt Winters Seasonal Model;

2. Arima models and seasonal Arima (Sarima);

3. Tableau and Power BI;

4. Alteryx;

5. Excel;

6. Python (libraries including pandas, numpy, scikit-learn);

7. R programming;

8. SAS.

We are proud to offer competitive compensation and benefit programs that include medical, dental, vision, flexible savings account, health savings account, 401K matching savings plan, employee assistance program, wellness programs, life insurance, AD&D insurance,  disability insurance, tuition reimbursement, student loan counseling, employee referral program, paid time off, and more! 


For additional information about our company, go to www.chg.com.


C.H. Guenther & Son and its subsidiaries are E-Verify participating employers.


Click here for more information regarding E-verify.
All offers of employment are contingent upon successful completion of the pre-employment screening process which includes a drug screen and review of criminal background and other records as required.


AA/EEO/Drug-Free Employer

Skills Required

  • Bachelor's degree in Data Analytics, Statistics, Business Analytics, or closely related field
  • 3 years of work experience in SAP systems
  • 1 year of experience with Holt's Linear Trend Model
  • 1 year of experience with Holt-Winters Seasonal Model
  • 1 year of experience with ARIMA models
  • 1 year of experience with seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA)
  • 1 year of experience with Tableau
  • 1 year of experience with Power BI
  • 1 year of experience with Alteryx
  • 1 year of experience with Excel
  • 1 year of experience with Python (pandas, numpy, scikit-learn)
  • 1 year of experience with R programming
  • 1 year of experience with SAS
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The Company

What We Do

C.H. Guenther & Son is a global, diversified food manufacturer founded in 1851. The company produces a wide range of grain-based and seasoning products, including artisan bread, buns, rolls, biscuits, gravy mixes, and frozen appetizers, serving the foodservice industry with a commitment to high-quality, traditional flavors.

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