Political Expert - Elections Forecasting & Political Risk

Posted 17 Days Ago
Be an Early Applicant
Hiring Remotely in United States
Remote
150-250 Hourly
Expert/Leader
Artificial Intelligence • HR Tech • Professional Services • Software
The Role
Author point-in-time political reports and election forecasts, assess polling and market-implied probabilities, explain causal political and market impacts, and evaluate AI-generated analyses. Requires substantial live forecasting experience, strong polling literacy, probabilistic judgment, and disciplined analysis without hindsight or confidential information.
Summary Generated by Built In

This role is for one of our clients

Compensation: $150-$250 per hour

We are building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. Each task asks a practitioner to reason from a fixed evidence cutoff — no hindsight — and document the judgment a strong analyst would have made at that moment.

This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.


Requirements

What you will do

  • Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff
  • Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds
  • Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact
  • Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard

Who we are looking for

  • A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst
  • A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds — not retrospective commentary
  • Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis
  • Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance

Backgrounds we look at first: top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate or governor races, and political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU. Brand-name experience is a strong first-pass signal but is not a hard requirement — direct experience and performance on the work sample determine who qualifies.

Not a fit

Pure communications, journalism, or academic profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment.

Point-in-time discipline

Every task is graded on reasoning from the stated cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.

We consider all qualified applicants without regard to legally protected characteristics and provide reasonable accommodations upon request.

Skills Required

  • Senior elections forecasting, campaign strategy, polling, statistical methodology, or political-risk analysis experience
  • Demonstrated record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds
  • Strong polling literacy
  • Strong causal event analysis skills
  • Typically 8 or more years of direct experience, or unusually strong equivalent performance
  • Ability to reason from a stated evidence cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information
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The Company
HQ: Stockholm
Year Founded: 2021

What We Do

Weekday is an AI-powered recruitment platform that helps startups hire top-tier engineering and product talent. By leveraging a massive database of white-collar professionals and advanced outreach tools, the company streamlines the hiring process through automated sourcing, AI-driven resume screening, and white-glove contingency services. Their mission is to modernize recruitment by enabling companies to discover and engage passive candidates efficiently, ensuring high-quality hires for critical roles.

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