Quantitative Trader - Crypto Prediction Markets

Posted 2 Days Ago
Be an Early Applicant
3 Locations
In-Office or Remote
Entry level
Financial Services • Cryptocurrency
The Role
Price and trade crypto prediction markets, digital options, and barriers; build market-making quotes, hedge with spot and perpetuals, model event probabilities, research historical data, backtest with realistic latency and fills, and manage correlated, tail, oracle, and settlement risk. The role requires derivatives expertise, microstructure judgment, applied probability, and strong backtesting discipline. It is office-based in Sofia or Milan with shared on-call coverage.
Summary Generated by Built In
ABOUT RAVEN

Raven is a proprietary crypto market-making and high-frequency trading firm. We trade spot, perpetuals, and prediction markets with dedicated low-latency infrastructure across eight major trading regions.

We hire competitive individuals and natural problem solvers with a record of ranking at something hard, whether competitive programming, games, or mathematics, who treat an unfamiliar problem as a challenge rather than an obstacle.

We can teach markets; we cannot teach drive.
We build our own stack end to end, from connectivity and pricing through execution, monitoring, and research data.

THE ROLE

Most crypto prediction contracts are digital options in disguise. "BTC above $X at time Y" has a liquid underlying trading right next to it, so fair value is a pricing problem, not a guess, and the risk hedges into spot and perpetuals we already trade with low latency. This cuts both ways. The underlying never stops moving, so a stale quote is easy profit for whoever is faster, and pricing, hedging, and requoting are one problem, not three. The other half of the book has nothing to hedge against. Protocol upgrades, listings, regulatory decisions, hacks, and governance votes leave you estimating a probability and standing behind it. You will own both, competing against counterparties who are equally skilled.

WHAT YOU'LL OWN

- Pricing digitals and barriers off the crypto volatility surface. You will work the  skew, term structure, and jump risk, and close the gap between a model price and what  the market will actually give you 

- Quoting and market making. Two-sided prices that reprice as the underlying moves,  re quote and cancel logic tuned to how fast we can actually reach the venue, and  inventory managed across strikes and expiries

- Hedging Delta into perpetuals and spot, funding and basis as the cost of carry, and  pin risk and gamma as expiry approaches

- Event probabilities on the unhedgeable half of the book. Calibrated numbers with  explicit priors, sized small when you honestly do not know

- Research on our own full-depth historical data. Backtests that respect latency and  queue position, not just paper returns

- Risk Correlated exposure across strikes, expiries, and venues; tail risk through a  jump; and oracle and resolution risk where settlement is a mechanism, not a given

WHO WE'RE LOOKING FOR

- You have priced and traded options, digitals, or short-dated derivatives with real money behind the quotes, in crypto or traditional markets

- Derivatives depth, including volatility surfaces, digital and barrier payoffs, and  greeks you reason through rather than look up

- Microstructure judgment, meaning queue position, adverse selection, latency budgets, and why the "correct" price is not always the one you post

- Strong applied statistics and probability, with the discipline to defend a number you publish

- Backtest hygiene. You know how look-ahead and unrealistic fills creep in, and you distrust good results until they survive replay

- Fluent English

- Prediction-market and on-chain settlement mechanics are a plus. You will own oracle and resolution risk from day one, so you should already understand how a contract actually settles

- No degree required. Experience is what matters

‍

LOGISTICS

- Sofia (Bulgaria) or Milan (Italy), with no preference between them. Whichever city the right person is in 
- In office, not remote
- Crypto trades around the clock. You will share a sane on-call rotation with the team that owns these systems

Skills Required

  • Experience pricing and trading options, digitals, or short-dated derivatives with real money behind quotes
  • Knowledge of derivatives, volatility surfaces, digital and barrier payoffs, and Greeks
  • Microstructure judgment covering queue position, adverse selection, latency budgets, and pricing decisions
  • Strong applied statistics and probability skills
  • Backtesting expertise, including avoiding look-ahead bias and unrealistic fills
  • Fluent English
  • Understanding of prediction markets and on-chain settlement mechanics
  • A degree is not required
Am I A Good Fit?
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The Company
16 Employees
Year Founded: 2023

What We Do

Raven is a proprietary algorithmic high-frequency trading firm and institutional market maker providing liquidity across cryptocurrency spot and perpetual markets, centralized and decentralized exchanges, prediction markets, and select traditional financial venues. It uses low-latency, high-throughput infrastructure to quote across these markets. Raven says its work is intended to improve market stability and efficiency, while building long-term partnerships with exchanges and projects.

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